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Creative Arts Emmy Predictions

This Saturday is the Creative Arts Emmy Awards. They are usually held the weekend before the Primetime Emmy Awards telecast. They honor the creative and technical categories that are “too boring” to be held in the main telecast. The biggest awards handed out here are the Guest Actor/Actress awards. I’m going to do full predictions with commentary on the major ones.

Best Guest Actor – Drama Series:
Dylan Baker, The Good Wife
Jeremy Davies, Justified
Ben Feldman, Mad Men
Michael J. Fox, The Good Wife
Mark Margolis, Breaking Bad
Jason Ritter, Parenthood

WILL WIN: Michael J. Fox
SHOULD WIN: Mark Margolis

This will be difficult for Michael J. Fox to lose. He’s the most respected actor in the category (and they love giving it to TV veterans) and he was actually pretty great this season. Dylan Baker & Mark Margolis are the spoilers. This is Baker’s second nomination for this role and he has a better tape this time around, and Margolis is pretty showy in his non-speaking role. Margolis would be my personal preference. I just don’t think he’s well known enough and his lack of dialogue might be a detractor for some voters who think that he’s not acting with no speech.

Best Guest Actress – Drama Series:
Joan Cusack, Shameless
Loretta Devine, Grey’s Anatomy
Julia Ormond, Mad Men
Martha Plimpton, The Good Wife
Jean Smart, Harry’s Law
Uma Thurman, Smash

WILL WIN & SHOULD WIN: Martha Plimpton

This one seems difficult to predict. As I stated in the Actor category, the Emmys love to award veterans and these category is filled with them. I’m going to with Plimpton based on her lack of having an Emmy and that she has a pretty decent tape. I wouldn’t be surprised if Jean Smart wins. She’s one of the most nominated actresses ever at the Emmys and they love David E. Kelley guest stars. I just think that the fact that the show was cancelled might be at her disadvantage.

Best Guest Actor – Comedy Series:
Will Arnett, 30 Rock
Bobby Cannavale, Nurse Jackie
Jimmy Fallon, Saturday Night Live
Michael J. Fox, Curb Your Enthusiasm
Jon Hamm, 30 Rock
Greg Kinnear, Modern Family

WILL WIN: Will Arnett
SHOULD WIN: Michael J. Fox

This is really a toss-up. I would rather see Michael J. Fox win here because he was hilarious as foil to Larry David on CYE. And it would be interesting to see if he becomes the first person to win both Guest categories in a single year. Jimmy Fallon is also in the mix. He’s got a lot of screen time with his hosting duty on SNL. But ultimately I think Will Arnett will take the award. The Guest categories always throw a curve-ball and I’m guess it’s going to be Arnett’s time. 4th time’s the charm.

Best Guest Actress – Comedy Series:
Elizabeth Banks, 30 Rock
Kathy Bates, Two and a Half Men
Margaret Cho, 30 Rock
Dot-Marie Jones, Glee
Melissa McCarthy, Saturday Night Live
Maya Rudolph, Saturday Night Live

WILL WIN & SHOULD WIN: Melissa McCarthy

I would be shocked if McCarthy doesn’t win. She had one of the most talked about hosting gigs in recent SNL history. The Hidden Valley Ranch sketch was one of the best things that happened on TV last year. She’s still riding high on an Oscar nomination for Bridesmaids and she’s a former Emmy winner. I don’t think she’ll lose.

Best Variety Special:
Betty White’s 90th Birthday: A Tribute to America’s Golden Girl
Kathy Griffin: Tired Hooker
The Kennedy Center Honors
Mel Brooks and Dick Cavett Together Again
Tony Bennett: Duets II

WILL WIN: Betty White’s 90th Birthday: A Tribute to America’s Golden Girl
SHOULD WIN: The Kennedy Center Honors

Never bet against Betty White. Her NBC special honoring her 90th Birthday was NBC’s highest rated non-sports/Olympics telecast in years. But she does face tough competition. The Kennedy Center Honors has won this category the past three year and had another stellar telecast this season. And Tony Bennett is another awards favorite. But I think voters might be turned off that it’s not a traditional concert special from him. The Duets II special was a collection of Tony in the recording studio, not a concert with Tony backed by a big band.

Best Choreography:
Dancing with the Stars – “Without You” – Teddy Forance, Nick Lazzarini & Travis Wall
Smash – “National Pastime”/”Let’s Be Bad”/”Never Met a Wolf” – Joshua Bergasse
So You Think You Can Dance – “Whatever Lola Wants”/”Please Mr. Jailer”/”Where Do I Begin” – Spencer Liff
So You Think You Can Dance – “Misty Blue”/”Velocity” – Christopher Scott
So You Think You Can Dance – “In This Shirt”/”Turning Tables”/”Heart Asks for Pleasure” – Stacey Tookey

WILL WIN: Christopher Scott
SHOULD WIN: Spencer Liff

I like predicting this category because I’m a big fan of So You Think You Can Dance, and the show has won this award for the past 5 years. Mia Michaels usually dominates this category, but she’s nowhere to be seen. She wasn’t featured last season because she was working on the film Rock of Ages (although it’s also been reported that she was pissed at Nigel Lythgoe for not keeping her on as a judge). So the show could be dethroned this year. Smash had some very impressive numbers and could be the spoiler. Travis Wall could’ve won this category had he been nominated for SYTYCD instead of DWTS. I’m going to say Christopher Scott wins this. He’s actually one of my least favorite choreographers on the show, but “Misty Blue” was an anamoly. It was a brilliant piece of work and one of the strongest the show has ever done. I think that will be enough to get him an Emmy. Spencer Liff would be my personal choice. He does really fun Broadway numbers. And one of the nominated works, “Please Mr. Jailer” was one of my personal favorites from the entire run of the series.

Animated Program: The Simpsons
Animated Program – Short-Format: Robot Chicken
Voice Over: Dan Povenmire, Disney’s Phineas and Ferb: Across the 2nd Dimension

Art Direction Single-Camera: Boardwalk Empire
Art Direction Multi-Camera: How I Met Your Mother
Art Direction TV Movie/Miniseries: Hatfields & McCoys
Art Direction Variety/Non-Fiction: Saturday Night Live

Casting Drama: Mad Men
Casting Comedy: Veep
Casting TV Movie/Miniseries: Game Change

Children’s Program: Wizards of Waverly Place
Children’s Program – Non-Fiction: The Weight of the Nation for Kids: The Great Cafeteria Takeover

Cinematography Single-Camera: Boardwalk Empire
Cinematography Multi-Camera: Two and a Half Men
Cinematography TV Movie/Miniseries: Sherlock: A Scandal in Belgravia
Cienmatography Non-Fiction: Frozen Planet
Cinematography Reality: Deadliest Catch

Commercial: It’s Halftime in America – Chrysler Brand

Costumes Series: The Borgias
Costumes TV Movie/Miniseries: Great Expectations

Directing Non-Fiction: George Harrison: Living in the Material World
Directing Variety Series: Saturday Night Live

Hairstyling Single-Camera Series: Mad Men
Hairstyling Multi-Camera Series: Saturday Night Live
Hairstyling TV Movie/Miniseries: Hatfields & McCoys

Lighting Direction Series: So You Think You Can Dance
Lighting Direction Special: Super Bowl XLVI Halftime Show Starring Madonna

Main Title Design: American Horror Story
Main Title Theme Music: Homeland

Makeup Single-Camera Series: Game of Thrones
Makeup Multi-Camera Series: Saturday Night Live
Makeup TV Movie/Miniseries: American Horror Story
Prosthetic Makeup: American Horror Story

Music Composition Series: Downton Abbey
Music Composition TV Movie/Special: Game Change
Music Direction: The Kennedy Center Honors
Music & Lyrics – Original: Smash – “Let Me Be Your Star”

Exception Merit in Documentary Filmmaking: Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Non-Fiction Series: American Masters
Non-Fiction Special: George Harrison: Living in the Material World
Reality Program: MythBusters

Picture Editing Single-Camera Drama: Breaking Bad – “Face Off”
Picture Editing Single-Camera Comedy: Modern Family – “Leap Day”
Picture Editing Multi-Camera Comedy: How I Met Your Mother
Picture Editing Single-Camera TV Movie: Hemingway & Gellhorn
Picture Editing Variety Special or Short Form: The Colbert Report
Picture Editing Non-Fiction: American Masters
Picture Editing Reality: The Amazing Race

Sound Editing Series: Game of Thrones
Sound Editing TV Movie/Miniseries: Hemingway & Gellhorn
Sound Editing Non-Fiction: The Amazing Race

Sound Mixing One-Hour Series: Game of Thrones
Sound Mixing Half-Hour Series: Modern Family
Sound Mixing TV Movie/Miniseries: Hatfields & McCoys
Sound Mixing Variety: The 54th Annual Grammy Awards
Sound Mixing Non-Fiction: Deadliest Catch

Special Class Program: The 54th Annual Grammy Awards
Special Class Live-Action Entertainment: Web Therapy
Special Class Short-Format Non-Fiction: Bravo’s Top Chef: Last Chance Kitchen

Special Visual Effects: Game of Thrones
Special Visual Efffects Supporting: Boardwalk Empire
Stunt Coordination: Hawaii Five-0

Technical Direction Series: Late Show with David Letterman
Technical Direction Special: The 84th Annual Academy Awards

Writing Non-Fiction: Anthony Bourdain: No Reservations
Writing Variety Series: The Colbert Report