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Emmy Predictions: Supporting Actor & Supporting Actress in a TV Movie/Miniseries

I continue my series of Emmy predictions with the supporting acting categories for TV Movie/Miniseries. I’m going to take a look at the categories and make groupings: Tier One, Tier Two and Tier Three. Tier One placements are for people/programs that I fully expect to get an Emmy nomination. Tier Two are people/programs that are still in the running but could be left out. And Tier Three are people/programs that I don’t expect to be nominated, but they would be a little bit of a surprise. Let’s take a look at the categories…

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR – TV MOVIE/MINISERIES:
TIER ONE:
James Cromwell, American Horror Story: Asylum
Rob Lowe, Behind the Candelabra

*James Cromwell had the showiest role of all the AHS supporting men and he’s a previous Emmy nominee. I think he’s the frontrunner to win in this category and I would be shocked to see him left off the list. Behind the Candelabra was basically the Matt Damon & Michael Douglas show. But it also had a lot of smaller performances from well known actors. I think that Rob Lowe is the frontrunner from that film basically because of the makeup job. He was one of the most talked about things from the film and that will lead him to his second Emmy nomination.*

TIER TWO:
Dan Aykroyd, Behind the Candelabra
Scott Bakula, Behind the Candelabra
Evan Peters, American Horror Story: Asylum
Zachary Quinto, American Horror Story: Asylum
Jeffrey Tambor, Phil Spector

*This entire category could easily be made up of people from AHS & Behind the Candelabra. I think Jeffrey Tambor is pretty safe. He’s the only contender from that film and he’s a previous multiple Emmy nominee. Dan Aykroyd & Scott Bakula didn’t have the biggest or showiest roles in Behind the Candelabra, but I think they’re well liked enough to be strong contenders. Evan Peters was basically a lead in AHS, but his lack of star power hurts him. Zachary Quinto had a great role and his success in Star Trek this summer helps him out a lot.*

TIER THREE:
Joseph Fiennes, American Horror Story: Asylum
Michael Gambon, Restless
Peter Mullan, Top of the Lake
Oliver Platt, The Big C: hereafter
David Wenham, Top of the Lake
James Wolk, Political Animals
James Woods, Mary and Martha
Thomas M. Wright, Top of the Lake

*The TV Movie/Miniseries are always unpredictable and include a few WTF nominations. I could see that happening with Oliver Platt & James Woods. I think Top of the Lake will do well at the Emmys, but the vote splitting between the three supporting men are going to leave them without anything in this category.*

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FINAL PREDICTIONS:
Dan Aykroyd, Behind the Candelabra
James Cromwell, American Horror Story: Asylum
Rob Lowe, Behind the Candelabra
Zachary Quinto, American Horror Story: Asylum
Jeffrey Tambor, Phil Spector

*Ultimately I think James Cromwell will win this category. Although looking at the lineup I have here, the vote splitting between AHS and Behind the Candelabra could prove good news for Jeffrey Tambor, who still doesn’t have an Emmy award after multiple nominations.*

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS – TV MOVIE/MINISERIES:
TIER ONE:
Ellen Burstyn, Political Animals
Holly Hunter, Top of the Lake
Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Asylum
Alfre Woodard, Steel Magnolias

*You can never count out Ellen Burstyn after she was nominated for her 14 second performance in Mrs. Harris. Her role in Political Animals was much bigger and important. The same goes with Alfre Woodard. The Emmys love her and they’ll nominate her any chance they get. Holly Hunter is a previous Emmy winner and her role in Top of the Lake is something voters will go for. And Sarah Paulson was nominated here last year for Game Change. She’s a co-lead on the show and I’ll be very surprised if she doesn’t get another nomination this year.*

TIER TWO:
Lily Rabe, American Horror Story: Asylum
Charlotte Rampling, Restless

*I think the final spot in this category is going to come down to these two ladies. Charlotte Rampling received a SAG nomination last year for this role. But that doesn’t always equal an Emmy nomination. Plus Restless hasn’t been talked about very much. Lily Rabe isn’t a well known actress, but she had a big role this year on AHS and her growing profile as an actress might be just enough to get her an Emmy nomination this year.*

TIER THREE:
Adelaide Clemens, Parade’s End
Frances Conroy, American Horror Story: Asylum
Michelle Dockery, Restless
Roma Downey, The Bible
Carla Gugino, Political Animals
Janet McTeer, Parade’s End
Cynthia Nixon, World Without End
Adepero Oduye, Steel Magnolias
Condola Rashad, Steel Magnolias
Phylicia Rashad, Steel Magnolias
Miranda Richardson, Parade’s End
Miranda Richardson, World Without End
Jill Scott, Steel Magnolias
Imelda Staunton, The Girl

*This is a big list of contenders for this tier. As I said with the supporting men, the Emmys usually go with a few random nominations that seem out of left field. Any of these ladies could be in that group. They’re either respected actresses or films that are on Emmy’s radar this year. While I would be surprised to see any of these ladies take one of those slots, it wouldn’t be out of the question.*

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FINAL PREDICTIONS:
Ellen Burstyn, Political Animals
Holly Hunter, Top of the Lake
Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Asylum
Lily Rabe, American Horror Story: Asylum
Alfre Woodard, Steel Magnolias

*It will be interesting to see who actually takes this category. Based on performance on role, Sarah Paulson should easily take this. But Emmys usually go with a bigger name in these categories. Burstyn, Hunter & Woodard are all Emmy favorites and could take home another trophy.*

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