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Emmy Predictions: Best Cinematography

I continue my series of Emmy predictions with the programs eligible in the categories for Best Cinematography. Let’s take a look…

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Boardwalk Empire – “Margate Sands”
Breaking Bad – “Gliding Over All”
Hannibal – “Aperitif”
House of Cards – “Chapter 1”
Mad Men – “The Doorway”

*Breaking Bad has received a Cinematography nomination every year. Hopefully this is the year for Michael Slovis to take home the trophy. I could see Breaking Bad being nominated twice here since they submitted two episodes. Watch out for that. Boardwalk Empire has won this category the past two years. They submitted two episodes, so I’m going with the finale but I could see both episodes nominated too. Mad Men has gotten a few nominations over the years and I think it’ll be back. I’m going with two new shows for the last two spots. The pilot for Hannibal looked incredible and I think the cinemtography branch will recognize it. House of Cards also had a distinct look that will make the Emmy voters nominate it. There are still a lot of other contenders. It wouldn’t surprise me if other new shows like The Americans, Bates Motel or The Newsroom snuck in. Game of Thrones should be nominated, but it submitted 6 episodes and the vote splitting won’t help it.*

[ALSO IN CONTENTION: The Americans, Bates Motel, The Borgias, CSI: Crime Scene Investigation, Downton Abbey, Game of Thrones, Glee, The Good Wife, Homeland, Modern Family, The Newsroom, The Walking Dead]

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The Big Bang Theory – “The Holographic Excitation”
How I Met Your Mother – “The Final Page, Part 2”
Mike & Molly – “Molly’s Birthday”
Pair of Kings – “King vs. Wild”
Two and a Half Men – “Grab a Feather and Get in Line”

*This is always a weird category. It’s hard to appreciate the cinematography of a multi-camera show compared to a single-camera one. Two and a Half Men won this award two years in a row. How I Met Your Mother and Pair of Kings hasn’t missed a nomination in two years either. Even though it hasn’t been nominated here before, I think the popularity of The Big Bang Theory will secure its nomination. The last spot will go to Mike & Molly because…it has to?*

[ALSO IN CONTENTION: Anger Management, The Exes, Happily Divorced, Hot in Cleveland, Rules of Engagement, 2 Broke Girls]

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American Horror Story: Asylum – “I Am Anne Frank, Part 2”
Behind the Candelabra
The Hour
– “Episode 5”
Parade’s End – “Part Five”
Top of the Lake – “Episode One”

*PBS programs have won this award for the past three years, but PBS/Masterpiece doesn’t have anything competing this year. I’m going with the usual suspects from the top categories with The Hour sneaking in for the fifth spot. In terms of early predictions, I think Parade’s End has the edge because it’s most similar to the PBS programs that have won the last couple of times.*

[ALSO IN CONTENTION: The Bible, The Girl, Killing Lincoln, Phil Spector, Political Animals, Restless, SEAL Team Six: The Raid on Osama Bin Laden]

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The Abolitionists (American Experience) – “Part 1”
Aerial America – “Kansas”
Anthony Bourdain: Parts Unknown – “Myanmar”
Mea Maxima Culpa: Silence in the House of God
North America
– “Born to Be Wild”

*Some usual suspects were not even submitted to this category. I’m not sure why but Ken Burns’ The Dust Bowl wasn’t submitted and Whale Wars has now been placed in the Reality category. That leaves it open for other things to get nominated. Anthony Bourdain’s previous show won this a few years ago and I assume they’ll go for his new one too. North America and Aerial America are both nature/landscape programs that usually get nominated. And The Abolitionists and Mea Maxima Culpa fill the slots designated for documentaries. I’m pretty solid with these predictions and I would be surprised if anything else gets in.*

[ALSO IN CONTENTION: American Masters, Beyonce: Life Is But a Dream, Ethel, 41, Manhunt: The Inside Story of the Hunt for Bin Laden, The Men Who Built America, Richard Pryor: Omit the Logic, Vice, The Weight of the Nation for Kids: Quiz Ed!, Witness, The World According to Dick Cheney]

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The Amazing Race – “Be Safe and Don’t Hit a Cow”
Deadliest Catch – “Mutiny on the Bering Sea”
Survivor – “Create a Little Chaos”
Top Chef – “Glacial Gourmand”
Whale Wars – “Dead in the Water”

*The Deadliest Catch has won this category the previous two years. The Amazing Race, Survivor and Top Chef never miss nominations. And Whale Wars was nominated every year in the Non-Fiction category. Maybe it won’t be as lucky in the Reality category, but I think it’s the same group of voters so they’ll vote for it wherever it lands. This isn’t a done deal though. Intervention, Project Runway and Top Chef Masters have been nominated here previously and I can them sneaking past another nominee and taking their spot.*

[ALSO IN CONTENTION: The Glee Project, Intervention, Masterchef, MythBusters, Project Runway, Top Chef Masters, The Voice]