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Emmy Predictions: Best Supporting Actor & Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

I continue my series of Emmy predictions with the people eligible in the categories for Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series and Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series. I’m going to take a look at the categories and make groupings: Tier One, Tier Two and Tier Three. Tier One placements are for people/programs that I fully expect to get an Emmy nomination. Tier Two are people/programs that are still in the running but could be left out. And Tier Three are people/programs that I don’t expect to be nominated, but they would be a little bit of a surprise. Let’s take a look at the categories…

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR – COMEDY SERIES:
TIER ONE:
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family
Ed O’Neill, Modern Family
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family

*The Modern Family guys have had a hold over this category for three years, and for the last two they’ve taken up four spots. I think they’re still good for 3 of those. The show seems to be waning a little bit. Not everything lasts forever. It wouldn’t surprise me if one of them was left off this year. Ferguson & O’Neill seem the most vulnerable, but maybe Stonestreet will get less votes now that he has two trophies. Either way, I think predicting all four of them is still a safe bet.*

TIER TWO:
Fred Armisen, Saturday Night Live
Will Arnett, Arrested Development
Max Greenfield, New Girl
Bill Hader, Saturday Night Live
Simon Helberg, The Big Bang Theory
Taran Killam, Saturday Night Live
Nick Offerman, Parks and Recreation
Jason Sudeikis, Saturday Night Live
Jeffrey Tambor, Arrested Development

*There’s a lot of competition for those final two slots. They could be predictable and just include Max Greenfield & Bill Hader again, which is very likely to happen. But it’s not concrete at this point. They could change up SNL players and give a goodbye nomination to Fred Armisen or Jason Sudeikis or even go with up-and-comer Taran Killam. It’s still a mystery whether the Emmys will go for Arrested Development. If they really liked it, I can easily see Arnett & Tambor getting return nominations. Then there’s Simon Helberg for The Big Bang Theory and Nick Offerman for Parks and Recreation waiting patiently on the sidelines waiting for their first nominations.*

TIER THREE:
Fred Armisen, Portlandia
Michael Cera, Arrested Development
Chris Colfer, Glee
David Cross, Arrested Development
Adam Driver, Girls
Nolan Gould, Modern Family
Tony Hale, Veep
Neil Patrick Harris, How I Met Your Mother
Alex Karpovsky, Girls
Jack McBrayer, 30 Rock
Chris Messina, The Mindy Project
Tracy Morgan, 30 Rock
Bobby Moynihan, Saturday Night Live
Kunal Nayyar, The Big Bang Theory
Chris Pratt, Parks and Recreation
Rico Rodriguez, Modern Family
Timothy Simons, Veep
Kenan Thompson, Saturday Night Live

*While I’m not predicting any of these people, the Emmys do some strange things in the acting categories sometimes so it wouldn’t completely surprise me to see any of these names slip through the cracks and appear on the Emmy list on July 18th.*

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FINAL PREDICTIONS:
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family
Max Greenfield, New Girl
Bill Hader, Saturday Night Live
Ed O’Neill, Modern Family
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family

*I’m going to be boring and go with the same lineup as last year. I would predict an upset but I don’t think anybody new has a great chance of breaking through and upsetting one of last year’s nominees. The Modern Family guys are still solid, Max Greenfield is the type of role that Emmy voters love, and this is their last chance to nominate Bill Hader (who had another fantastic season). I can’t make a strong case for anybody else taking one of their slots.*

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS – COMEDY SERIES:
TIER ONE:
Mayim Bialik, The Big Bang Theory
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family

*Much like the male supporting category, it’s never a bad idea to predict Modern Family in anything. This category isn’t as strong as the other one, so that makes Bowen & Vergara even more of a sure thing. Maybe this year Vergara will even upset Bowen for the win. I’m also predicting Mayim Bialik to get her second nomination. It’s a quirky/oddball role that the Emmy voters love to nominate. The show has never been more popular and she has a great submission. Watch out for an upset victory.*

TIER TWO:
Anna Chlumsky, Veep
Kaley Cuoco, The Big Bang Theory
Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock
Cloris Leachman, Raising Hope
Jane Lynch, Glee
Zosia Mamet, Girls
Melissa Rauch, The Big Bang Theory
Jessica Walter, Arrested Development
Merritt Wever, Nurse Jackie
Betty White, Hot in Cleveland
Allison Williams, Girls

*This category is wide open and anything can happen. All of these ladies stand the same chance of getting nominated, it just depends on which route the Emmy voters are going to follow. The Big Bang Theory and Girls are two of the most talked about and popular shows on the air right now. If the Emmy voters agree, I can see Cuoco, Mamet, Rauch and Williams all have very decent shots at making it in. Veep was liked enough to get a Comedy Series nomination last year. If it gets in again, I can see Chlumsky being swept up in the wave. Merritt Wever was nominated last year (in a big surprise) and she can easily repeat again. Jane Krakowski could get a goodbye nomination for 30 Rock. Also Jane Lynch is still a threat to get in after being snubbed last year. Her role on Broadway in Annie could be unintentional campaigning for the Emmy. And you can never count out respected TV legends. Cloris Leachman, Jessica Walter & Betty White could easily take those last three spots.*

TIER THREE:
Ellen Barkin, The New Normal
Vanessa Bayer, Saturday Night Live
Kristen Bell, House of Lies
Carrie Brownstein, Portlandia
Conchata Ferrell, Two and a Half Men
Jenna Fischer, The Office
Sarah Hyland, Modern Family
Jemima Kirke, Girls
Swoosie Kurtz, Mike & Molly
Diane Ladd, Enlightened
Wendie Malick, Hot in Cleveland
Kate McKinnon, Saturday Night Live
Nasim Pedrad, Saturday Night Live
Aubrey Plaza, Parks and Recreation
Alia Shawkat, Arrested Development
Eden Sher, The Middle
Cecily Strong, Saturday Night Live

*While I’m not predicting any of these people, the Emmys do some strange things in the acting categories sometimes so it wouldn’t completely surprise me to see any of these names slip through the cracks and appear on the Emmy list on July 18th.*

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FINAL PREDICTIONS:
Mayim Bialik, The Big Bang Theory
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Zosia Mamet, Girls
Melissa Rauch, The Big Bang Theory
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
Jessica Walter, Arrested Development

*I decided to go with Mamet, Rauch & Walter for the final three spots. Jessica Walter was previously nominated for her role as Lucille Bluth. And even if the Emmy voters don’t completely embrace the return of Arrested Development, Walter is well liked enough and the competition is weak enough that she should still get a nomination. And I’m predicting Mamet & Rauch for the reason I stated above: the shows have become even more popular and their characters are the types that Emmy voters usually recognize. They’re both quirky, slightly over-the-top characters that Emmy voters prefer.*

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