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Emmy Predictions: Best Drama Series

I continue my series of Emmy predictions with the programs eligible in the category for Best Drama Series. I’m going to take a look at the categoriy and make groupings: Tier One, Tier Two and Tier Three. Tier One placements are for programs that I fully expect to get an Emmy nomination. Tier Two are programs that are still in the running but could be left out. And Tier Three are programs that I don’t expect to be nominated, but they would be a little bit of a surprise. Let’s take a look at the categories…

BEST DRAMA SERIES:
TIER ONE:
Breaking Bad
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones
Homeland
Mad Men

*I really think this category is pretty solid. These 5 shows are pretty much sure things to be nominated again. I really don’t see any of them being weak enough to be snubbed. Homeland won last year, Mad Men won 4 times in a row, Breaking Bad has never been more relevant, Downton Abbey is obviously loved by the voters, and Game of Thrones has grown in popularity and critical praise this past year. All of them have strong cases to be nominated again.*

TIER TWO:
Boardwalk Empire
House of Cards
The Newsroom
Scandal
The Walking Dead

*This is going to be a scramble for that final spot. Boardwalk Empire has been nominated the past two seasons and it deserves to be nominated again. It just doesn’t seem to have as vocal of a support as some of the other contenders. It also airs in the fall which is the worst time for shows waiting an Emmy. Scandal and The Walking Dead haven’t been nominated before, but they both grew exponentially in popularity this year. The Emmy voters usually go for popular shows sometimes over quality (CSI, True Blood). It could happen this year. The Newsroom and House of Cards are both new shows, which are mysteries until we see how Emmy voters like them. I have a feeling one of them could sneak through and be much more popular with voters than any of us are realizing.*

TIER THREE:
The Americans
Bates Motel
Boardwalk Empire
The Borgias
Damages
Dexter
The Following
The Good Wife
Hannibal
House of Cards
The Newsroom
Orphan Black
Parenthood
Scandal
Shameless
Sons of Anarchy
Treme
The Walking Dead

*While I’m not predicting any of these programs, the Emmys do some strange things in these categories sometimes so it wouldn’t completely surprise me to see any of these shows slip through the cracks and appear on the Emmy list on July 18th.*

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FINAL PREDICTIONS:
Breaking Bad
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones
Homeland
House of Cards
Mad Men

*I’m going ‘no guts, no glory’ and predicting House of Cards for that last spot. Netflix made a lot of news this year with their original programming. House of Cards aired in the perfect spot for voters to be aware of it and catch up in time for the voting period. It has the seriousness and quality that Emmy voters usually go for. Plus Netflix has been campaigning hard for it (much more than Arrested Development, IMO). I think it will pay off and it will get that final spot in the nomination field.*

OTHER CATEGORIES:
Best Actor & Actress – Drama Series
Best Supporting Actor & Supporting Actress – Drama Series
Best Writing & Directing – Drama Series
Best Guest Actor & Guest Actress – Drama Series

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