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Emmy Winner Predictions 2013: Best Variety Special

The Emmys are only a few weeks away…so it’s best to start predicting. I’m going to take a look at each category and predict who I think will be taking home the lovely Emmy statue on Sept. 15 (Creative Arts) or Sept. 22 (Primetime telecast).

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Best Variety, Music or Comedy Special:
The Kennedy Center Honors
Louis C.K.: Oh My God
Mel Brooks Strikes Back! with Mel Brooks and Alan Yentob
Saturday Night Live: Weekend Update Thursday (Part One)
12-12-12: The Concert for Sandy Relief

*The Kennedy Center Honors has won this award for the past 4 years…and I think they’re going to make it 5 in a row. Let’s count out two programs right away: the SNL Weekend Update episode and the Mel Brooks special. I think the lack of competition is exactly why the Weekend Update Thursday episode made the lineup. Nobody enjoyed those Thursday episode. The Mel Brooks special is basically Mel Brooks sitting down for a conversation. Louis C.K.: Oh My God is a strong contender. A comedy special hasn’t won since 1997 (Chris Rock: Bring the Pain), but the Emmy voters’ love for Louis C.K. could change that. 12-12-12 was a well received benefit concert, but I think the length and time of it will turn some voters off. The Kennedy Center Honors was well liked by everybody, especially the Led Zeppelin portion. It will most likely win again.*

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Best Writing – Variety, Music or Comedy Special:
The 70th Annual Golden Globe Awards
Louis C.K.: Oh My God
Night of Too Many Stars: America Comes Together for Autism Programs
Saturday Night Live: Weekend Update Thursday (Part One)
The 66th Annual Tony Awards

*Unlike the program category, the Writing category actually favors comedy specials. Louis C.K. won this award last year for his special from the Beacon Theatre. That was an online special, and this time his special aired on HBO and was much more beloved. He should easily win. I would watch out for the Golden Globes, which were well received this year and have Tina Fey & Amy Poehler as credited writers. And you can never count out the Tony Awards, which won twice in a row in 2010 & 2011.*

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Best Directing – Variety, Music or Comedy Special:
The Kennedy Center Honors – Louis J. Horvitz
London 2012 Olympic Games Opening Ceremony – Bucky Gunts & Hamish Hamilton
Louis C.K.: Oh My God – Louis C.K.
The Oscars – Don Mischer
12-12-12: The Concert for Sandy Relief – Michael Dempsey

*I could go into further detail, but there really isn’t a reason. The Olympics Opening Ceremony never loses this category. Remember the memorable Emmy moment in 2010 when Ricky Gervais made fun of Bucky Gunts name? Expect something similar to happen at the Creative Arts ceremony again. The only other challengers: the Emmy favorite The Kennedy Center Honors and Emmy’s favorite comedian Louis C.K. But this should be the opening ceremony’s Emmy in a cake walk.*