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Emmy Winner Predictions 2013: Best Picture Editing

The Emmys are only a few weeks away…so it’s best to start predicting. I’m going to take a look at each category and predict who I think will be taking home the lovely Emmy statue on Sept. 15 (Creative Arts) or Sept. 22 (Primetime telecast).

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Best Single-Camera Picture Editing – Drama Series:
Breaking Bad – “Dead Freight”

Breaking Bad – “Gliding Over All”
Game of Thrones – “The Rains of Castamere”
House of Cards – “Chapter 1”
Mad Men – “The Collaborators”

*The last few winners of this award aren’t even nominated, so a new champion is going to be crowned. Pilot episodes have won the past two years, so it looks good for House of Cards. And Mad Men is always nominated and has yet to win here. Unfortunately I think the other two shows have a better chance of winning. “The Rains of Castamere” was one of the most talked about episodes of the year. The Red Wedding sequence was visually impressive. But I think Breaking Bad will pick up the award for the train heist sequence in “Dead Freight”. There’s a small possibility that it could split votes with its other nominated episode, but I feel confident that it won’t happen.*

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Best Single-Camera Picture Editing – Comedy Series:
Arrested Development – “Flight of the Phoenix”
Louie – “Daddy’s Girlfriend, Part 2”
Modern Family – “Party Crasher”
The Office – “Finale”
30 Rock – “Hogcock!/Last Lunch”

*Curb Your Enthusiasm won this award last year. Modern Family received two nominations every year in this category except for this one. Will it make it an easier choice to vote for now or are voters over it? Louie or Arrested Development are well liked enough that they could sneak in and win. But I think it will come down to a race between the two series finales. The Office was still nominated in this category long after the other categories dropped in, but 30 Rock has been consistently loved by the voters and it should pick up the win here.*

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Best Multi-Camera Picture Editing – Comedy Series:
The Big Bang Theory – “The Love Spell Potential”
The Colbert Report – “#9082”
Conan – “Occupy Conan”
Hot in Cleveland – “Magic Diet Candy”
How I Met Your Mother – “P.S. I Love You”

*It’s a little bit difficult to predict this since Variety shows haven’t been able to compete here before. Will they prefer the work on Conan or The Colbert Report to the multi-camera sitcoms? Possibly. HIMYM has been consistently nominated in this category (even when it was lumped together with single-camera shows). So it’s likely going to win another Emmy. I would watch out for The Big Bang Theory…which has gained popularity this year and their submitted episode was one of their best of the entire series.*

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Best Single-Camera Picture Editing – TV Movie/Miniseries:
American Horror Story: Asylum – “Nor’easter”
Behind the Candelabra
Killing Lincoln
Phil Spector
Top of the Lake
– “Episode Five”

*This category usually breaks away from the pact and gives it to a top contender that doesn’t sweep the other categories. It looks like AHS and Behind the Candelabra are going to sweep everything else, so I’m thinking this will be a race between Phil Spector and Top of the Lake. Just to separate myself from the pact, I’m going to go with a surprise and say Phil Spector is going to take this award. But it wouldn’t surprise me if AHS or Candelabra just continued their dominance and won here too.*

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Best Picture Editing – Variety Special or Short-Format Segment:
The Colbert Report – “#9083” – CGI University
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart – “#18092” – Australia & Gun Control’s Aftermath, Part 3
London 2012 Olympic Games Opening Ceremony – Happy & Glorious
Louis C.K.: Oh My God
Saturday Night Live – “Louis C.K.” – Lincoln

*This category prefers Variety Specials, so that should leave a clear path for Louis C.K.’s comedy special. Louis C.K. has also been nominated the past three years for editing his specials. However, I don’t think he’ll win for this one. I think The Daily Show is going to pick this up for its final part of a John Oliver investigation of Australia’s gun control policies. It was one of the best things the show did this year and I think Emmy voters will take notice. Also in contention: SNL for it’s Louie-like piece about Lincoln as a stand-up comedian. It would actually be funny if that won and took away a victory from Louis C.K.*

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Best Picture Editing – Non-Fiction Programming:
American Masters – “Mel Brooks: Make a Noise”
Crossfire Hurricane
Mea Maxima Culpa: Silence in the House of God
Richard Pryor: Omit the Logic

*I think this will come down to a race between the documentaries Ethel and Mea Maxima Culpa. The category favors history lessons and documentaries based on careers. Ethel definitely fits that mold. But I could see them just appreciating the overall look and feel of Mea Maxima Culpa and award it based on technical merit, which doesn’t always happen.*

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Best Picture Editing – Reality Programming:
The Amazing Race – “Be Safe and Don’t Hit a Cow”
Deadliest Catch – “Mutiny on the Bering Sea”
Project Runway – “Europe, Here We Come”
Project Runway – “A Times Square Anniversary”
Survivor – “Zipping Over the Cuckoo’s Nest”

*I refuse to predict Deadliest Catch for any more wins. Yes it usually wins and the Emmy voters obviously love it. But it has to falter sometime and it at least one category. I think Project Runway will win this for the Europe episode. It was an impressive feat to edit together footage from 4 different trips around Europe. The Emmy voters could be impressed enough to give it the most votes.*