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Emmy Winner Predictions 2013: TV Movie/Miniseries Acting

The Emmys are only a few weeks away…so it’s best to start predicting. I’m going to take a look at each category and predict who I think will be taking home the lovely Emmy statue on Sept. 22.

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Best Actor – TV Movie/Miniseries:
Benedict Cumberbatch, Parade’s End
Matt Damon, Behind the Candelabra
Michael Douglas, Behind the Candelabra
Toby Jones, The Girl
Al Pacino, Phil Spector

*Benedict Cumberbatch & Toby Jones are both respected actors and got great reviews for their roles, but they don’t have a chance. Al Pacino would also be a suprising winner. He’s won this category twice in the past 10 years and voters aren’t clamoring to give him a third win again so soon. It’s going to be a battle between the Candelabra men. And even then, I would be shocked if Damon managed to win. Michael Douglas was the star of the show and got career-best reviews. He got the Emmy award the moment it was announced that this film was going to air on HBO. There’s a slight chance that Damon could pull an upset, but fully expect Douglas to be accepting that award on Sunday night.*

Winner Prediction: Michael Douglas, Behind the Candelabra

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Best Actress – TV Movie/Miniseries:
Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Asylum
Laura Linney, The Big C: hereafter
Helen Mirren, Phil Spector
Elisabeth Moss, Top of the Lake
Sigourney Weaver, Political Animals

*This category is very interesting because there’s no clear frontrunner. Sigourney Weaver is overdue for an awards win. This won’t be it though. Political Animals slightly underperformed and it was basically a cancelled USA show that didn’t make it to a second season. You can never count out Laura Linney or Helen Mirren, both multiple Emmy winners in this category. Linney has only lost one Emmy awards race. But I don’t think their programs were well liked enough for them to overcome the other two ladies in the category. However it wouldn’t surprise me if Emmy voters were lazy and just voted for one of them based on their name. I think it’s going to come down to Jessica Lange or Elisabeth Moss. Lange won the supporting category last year for AHS. This time she’s in the lead category with a very showy role as a nun who reads a mental asylum. But the same case could be made as Pacino. This would be her third Emmy win in a short amount of time. Do they want to keep awarding her over and over? Elisabeth Moss is overdue for an Emmy win. This is her first nomination outside of Mad Men and it could possibly happen. Top of the Lake was one of the most talked about programs of the year and her performance received rave reviews. The nomination for Peter Mullan in the supporting category means that voters probably watched the program too. I think she’s going to slightly edge out Lange for a win…but it’s going to be a close one.*

Winner Prediction: Elisabeth Moss, Top of the Lake

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Best Supporting Actor – TV Movie/Miniseries:
Scott Bakula, Behind the Candelabra
James Cromwell, American Horror Story: Asylum
John Benjamin Hickey, The Big C: hereafter
Peter Mullan, Top of the Lake
Zachary Quinto, American Horror Story: Asylum

*As I was typing the nominees I realized that Jeffrey Tambor wasn’t nominated for Phil Spector. He seemed like a sure thing around nomination time. Let’s count out John Benjamin Hickey right away. He was a recent Tony winner and I think his stage work helped propel him to this nomination. He won’t win in this category though. He should be happy with the nomination. I also don’t think Peter Mullan will win. This category goes to respected veteran actors and Mullan isn’t well known enough to fit that mold. Scott Bakula would also slightly surprise me. He was very good in Candelabra (and my personal fav of the supporting males in that film) but it’s not a very showy or big role. But he’s still a contender just based on the fact that he was in that film. It’s going to come down to a race between the AHS men. Zachary Quinto had the meatiest role of the two, a deranged serial killer. He also had a box office hit this summer with the Star Trek sequel. But James Cromwell also had a great role as a sadistic scientist. This is Cromwell’s fourth Emmy nomination without a win and he’s a well-respected actor that’s worked with a lot of the industry. I’m comfortably predicting him but don’t be surprised if Bakula or Quinto also walk away with the trophy.*

Winner Prediction: James Cromwell, American Horror Story: Asylum

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Best Supporting Actress – TV Movie/Miniseries:
Ellen Burstyn, Political Animals
Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Asylum
Charlotte Rampling, Restless
Imelda Staunton, The Girl
Alfre Woodard, Steel Magnolias

*This is an interesting category. Ellen Burstyn & Alfre Woodard are both Emmy favorites. They have multiple awards and always get nominated for programs that aren’t very well liked or get many nominations elsewhere. But I don’t think these roles are going to get them another Emmy for their mantles. Charlotte Rampling was nominated based on her name alone. Restless only received one other nomination and I don’t know anyone that actually watched that miniseries. Imelda Staunton was good in The Girl, but he role wasn’t very big and I think she was another case of being nominated based on name recognition. That should pave the way for Sarah Paulson to take home her first Emmy win. She was the MVP of American Horror Story this year and was basically a co-lead with Lange. I fully expect her to win this category, but never count out the laziness of Emmy voters and their ability to vote based on name recognition.*

Winner Prediction: Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Asylum

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