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Creative Arts Emmy Predictions 2014: Who Will Win?

The Creative Arts Emmy Awards will be given out on Saturday evening, August 16th. They won’t actually be broadcast until the following Saturday on FXM, but the winners will be revealed through the Emmys website and I’m sure journalists on Twitter will be sharing updates also. Let’s take a look at the categories that will be presented and who I think will win.

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Best Guest Actor – Drama Series:
Dylan Baker, The Good Wife
Beau Bridges, Masters of Sex
Reg E. Cathey, House of Cards
Paul Giamatti, Downton Abbey
Robert Morse, Mad Men
Joe Morton, Scandal

*This is actually a very competitive race this year. First I’d like to count out two nominees: Dylan Baker & Paul Giamatti. I like both of those actors but I don’t think they stand much of a chance this year. Dylan Baker has his least memorable episode this season and I’m surprised he was even nominated. I don’t watch Downton Abbey, but I hear Giamatti wasn’t anything special. The other four guys in the category: I could see a scenario where any of them win. Reg E. Cathey is a respected charactor actor and the Emmy voters really seemed to love House of Cards this season. He had one of the better episodes of the season which makes for a solid submission. Beau Bridges was basically the third lead on Masters of Sex, appearing in 9 out of 12 episodes. He has a great submission and Emmy voters love him. Robert Morse has been consistently nominated in this category almost every year. And he has his strongest submission ever (and this is their last chance to give him an award). And Joe Morton is basically in the same boat as Beau Bridges. He was basically a Supporting Actor this season. He’s a respected actor that’s been around for years and Shonda Rhimes’ shows do very well in the Guest categories. Even though it’s a very competitive race, I think Joe Morton is going to be walking away with the Emmy statue on Saturday.*

Winner Prediction: Joe Morton, Scandal

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Best Guest Actress – Drama Series:
Kate Burton, Scandal
Jane Fonda, The Newsroom
Allison Janney, Masters of Sex
Kate Mara, House of Cards
Margo Martindale, The Americans
Diana Rigg, Game of Thrones

*It’s interesting that three of the nominees have returned from last year. Unfortunately for them, I don’t think of any of them will win the award this year either. Diana Rigg didn’t have as memorable of a turn this year, Margo Martindale seems to have gotten in based on her name, and Jane Fonda doesn’t have a baity submission. Kate Mara was a huge surprise on nomination morning. I think her nomination speaks to the fact that the Emmy voters loved House of Cards this season. But her character is too divisive and her tape isn’t strong enough to overcome the other ladies in the category. Kate Burton could be a darkhorse winner. She’s previously been nominated this category for her performance on another Shonda Rhimes show, Grey’s Anatomy. Her character is over-the-top enough for voters to take notice and possible give her the win. But overall, this category is Allison Janney’s to lose. Her performance was one of the best on television last year. If her previous 4 wins for The West Wing prove anything, it’s that Emmy voters love Allison Janney. She should easily win this.*

Winner Prediction: Allison Janney, Masters of Sex

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Best Guest Actor – Comedy Series:
Steve Buscemi, Portlandia
Louis C.K., Saturday Night Live
Gary Cole, Veep
Jimmy Fallon, Saturday Night Live
Nathan Lane, Modern Family
Bob Newhart, The Big Bang Theory

*This is another interesting category. I think the one person who I don’t expect to win this award is Steve Buscemi. He doesn’t really have a submission or character that rivals the other guys in this category. Louis C.K. had less memorable hosting gig this year, but voters love him so I could see him winning based on that alone. Gary Cole is basically a Supporting Actor in the wrong category. Voters really warmed up to Veep this season and gave it more nominations than before. He’s also a respected actor and could earn more voters based on that. Nathan Lane has been consistently nominated in this category, but his character is never featured enough in an episode to really gather up support and pick up the Emmy. I could see any of those three guys winning, but I think it’s going to be a battle of the two previous winners: Jimmy Fallon & Bob Newhart. Fallon won this award two years ago and he has a similar episode this year. Emmy voters have really started to like him (his shows/specials received nominations everywhere). I can see him winning again. Bob Newhart finally won an Emmy last year and I can see him doing it again. I personally thought he was even stronger this season and has a better submission. It’s going to be a close race but Bob Newhart should be taking home Emmy #2 on Saturday night.*

Winner Prediction: Bob Newhart, The Big Bang Theory

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Best Guest Actress – Comedy Series:
Uzo Aduba, Orange Is the New Black
Laverne Cox, Orange Is the New Black
Joan Cusack, Shameless
Tina Fey, Saturday Night Live
Natasha Lyonne, Orange Is the New Black
Melissa McCarthy, Saturday Night Live

*This is going to be a very interesting race. This is Joan Cusack’s 4th nomination in a row for Shameless (this time in the Comedy category). But she has the same issue as Nathan Lane. She’s never featured enough in an episode to have a strong submission to win the award. This is Melissa McCarthy’s 3rd nomination in a row for hosting SNL. But this was her weakest outing yet. If she couldn’t win for the first two gigs, she won’t win for this one. Tina Fey has previously won for her hosting duty on SNL, but it was during the Sarah Palin era and her episode wasn’t a very memorable one. Then there’s the three ladies from OITNB. I honestly think it’s going to be a race between those three women, and Laverne Cox is going to be taking the trophy home. She has the only episode where she is the featured flashback. She was also one of the breakout characters that everybody talked about. I could see Uzo Aduba possibly winning, but it seems that Laverne Cox has the best chances IMO.*

Winner Prediction: Laverne Cox, Orange Is the New Black

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Best Host – Reality or Reality-Competition Program:
Tom Bergeron, Dancing with the Stars
Anthony Bourdain, The Taste
Cat Deeley, So You Think You Can Dance
Heidi Klum & Tim Gunn, Project Runway
Jane Lynch, Hollywood Game Night
Betty White, Betty White’s Off Their Rockers

*I’d like to count out Anthony Bourdain & Betty White right away. Emmy voters love to nominate them for anything, but they aren’t good enough to actually win this category. Tom Bergeron has already won and the show has been getting less and less recognized by voters. I think the other three contenders have a good shot of winning. Cat Deeley is overdue for a win and I think she’s recognizable enough to finally win a statue. Jane Lynch is another beloved Emmy favorite, but she’s actually good and prolific on the show to garner the most votes in the category. Heidi Klum & Tim Gunn won this award last year and I can see them doing it again. It’s going to be a close race but I think Klum & Gunn will be walking away with another win this year.*

Winner Prediction: Heidi Klum & Tim Gunn, Project Runway

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Best Variety, Music or Comedy Special:
AFI Life Achievement Award: A Tribute to Mel Brooks
The Beatles: The Night That Changed America
Best of Late Night with Jimmy Fallon Primetime Special
Billy Crystal: 700 Sundays
The Kennedy Center Honors
Sarah Silverman: We Are Miracles

*Emmy voters LOVE Mel Brooks. They’ve nominated a special involving Mel Brooks for 3 years in a row. But none of them are ever good enough to actually win. Some network should take note: do a decent Mel Brooks special and collect the Emmy award next year. But it’s a moot point anyway. The Kennedy Center Honors have won this award 5 years in a row and I think this year will be #6. None of the other specials are strong enough to overtake the front runner.*

Winner Prediction: The Kennedy Center Honors

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Best Animated Program:
Bob’s Burgers
South Park
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: The Manhattan Project

*I think Futurama is going easily take home another trophy in this category. It’s series finale was pretty fantastic and everyone raved about it. Archer & Bob’s Burgers both had great seasons, but they didn’t submit their best episodes and that’s going to hurt them. South Park is past its prime. Even though it won last year it doesn’t have a strong enough episode to take down Futurama. While animated movies have won in the past, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles probably won’t be respected enough to win.*

Winner Prediction: Futurama – “Meanwhile”

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The Rest of the Categories

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Best Writing – Variety, Music or Comedy Series:
The Colbert Report

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Best Directing – Variety, Music or Comedy Series:
Saturday Night Live – “Jimmy Fallon” – Don Roy King

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Best Animated Program – Short Format:
Adventure Time – “Be More”

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Best Art Direction – Contemporary or Fantasy Series (Single-Camera):
Game of Thrones – “The Laws of God and Men”/”The Mountain and the Viper”

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Best Art Direction – Period Series, TV Movie or Miniseries (Single-Camera):
Boardwalk Empire – “Erlkonig”/”The Old Ship of Zion”/”Farewell Daddy Blues”

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Best Art Direction – Contemporary Program (Half-Hour or Less):
Modern Family – “Las Vegas”

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Best Art Direction – Variety or Non-Fiction Program:
The Oscars

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Best Casting – Drama Series:
House of Cards

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Best Casting – Comedy Series:
Orange Is the New Black

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Best Casting – TV Movie/Miniseries:
The Normal Heart

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Best Children’s Program:
One Last Hug: Three Days at Grief Camp

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Best Choreography:
So You Think You Can Dance – “The Edge of Glory”/”Feelin’ Good”/”I Can’t Make You Love Me” – Mandy Moore

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Best Cinematography – Single-Camera Series:
True Detective – “Who Goes There”

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Best Cinematography – Multi-Camera Series:
How I Met Your Mother – “Daisy”

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Best Cinematography – TV Movie/Miniseries:
Sherlock: His Last Vow

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Best Cinematography – Non-Fiction Programming:
Anthony Bourdain: Parts Unknown – “Punjab”

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Best Cinematography – Reality Programming:
Deadliest Catch – “Careful What You Wish For”

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Best Commercial:
Childlike Imagination – General Imagination

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Best Costumes – Series:
Game of Thrones – “The Lion and the Rose”

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Best Costumes – TV Movie, Miniseries or Special:
The White Queen – “The Price of Power”

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Best Directing – Non-Fiction Programming:
The Square – Jehane Noujaim

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Best Documentary or Non-Fiction Series:
Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey

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Best Documentary or Non-Fiction Special:
JFK (American Experience)

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Exceptional Merit in Documentary Filmmaking:
Life According to Sam

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Best Hairstyling – Single-Camera Series:
Game of Thrones – “The Lion and the Rose”

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Best Hairstyling – Multi-Camera Series or Special:
Saturday Night Live – “Anna Kendrick”

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Best Hairstyling – TV Movie/Miniseries:
American Horror Story: Coven

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Best Informational Series or Special:
Anthony Bourdain: Parts Unknown

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Best Interactive Program:
The Voice – NBC.com

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Best Lighting Direction – Variety Series:
The Voice – “Episode 619A”

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Best Lighting Direction – Variety Special:
The Oscars

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Best Main Title Design:
Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey

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Best Main Title Theme Music:
Black Sails

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Best Makeup – Single-Camera Series (Non-Prosthetic):
Boardwalk Empire – “New York Sour”

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Best Makeup – Multi-Camera Series or Special (Non-Prosthetic):
Key & Peele – “East/West Bowl Rap”

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Best Makeup – TV Movie/Miniseries (Non-Prosthetic):
American Horror Story: Coven

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Best Prosthetic Makeup – Series, TV Movie, Miniseries or Special:
Game of Thrones – “The Children”

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Best Music Composition – Series (Original Dramatic Score):
House of Cards – “Chapter 26”

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Best Music Composition – TV Movie, Miniseries or Special (Dramatic Underscore):
Sherlock: His Last Vow

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Best Music Direction:
The Beatles: The Night That Changed America

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Best Music and Lyrics:
The 67th Annual Tony Awards – “Bigger!”

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Best Single-Camera Picture Editing – Drama Series:
Breaking Bad – “To’hajiilee”

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Best Single-Camera Picture Editing – Comedy Series:
Orange Is the New Black – “Tit Punch”

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Best Multi-Camera Picture Editing – Comedy Series:
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart – “#19006”

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Best Single-Camera Picture Editing – TV Movie/Miniseries:
Fargo – “The Crocodile’s Dilemma”

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Best Picture Editing – Variety Special or Short-Format Segment:
The Colbert Report – Segment: Stephfest Colbchella 13 – Daft Punk’d

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Best Picture Editing – Non-Fiction Programming:
Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey – “Standing Up in the Milky Way”

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Best Picture Editing – Reality Programming:
Deadliest Catch – “Careful What You Wish For”

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Best Reality Program – Structured:
Shark Tank

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Best Reality Program – Unstructured:
Deadliest Catch

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Best Sound Editing – Series:
Game of Thrones – “The Watchers on the Wall”

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Best Sound Editing – TV Movie, Miniseries or Special:
Fargo – “The Crocodile’s Dilemma”

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Best Sound Editing – Non-Fiction Programming:
Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey – “Standing Up in the Milky Way”

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Best Sound Mixing – Drama or Comedy Series (One-Hour):
Game of Thrones – “The Watchers on the Wall”

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Best Sound Mixing – Drama or Comedy Series (Half-Hour) and Animation:
The Simpsons – “Married to the Blob”

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Best Sound Mixing – TV Movie/Miniseries:
Sherlock: His Last Vow

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Best Sound Mixing – Variety Program:
The Beatles: The Night That Changed America

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Best Sound Mixing – Non-Fiction Programming:
American Masters – “Jimi Hendrix: Hear My Train a Comin'”

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Best Special Class Program:
The 67th Annual Tony Awards

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Best Special Class Program – Live-Action Entertainment:
Between Two Ferns with Zach Galifianakis: President Barack Obama

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Best Special Class Program – Short-Format Non-Fiction:
30 for 30 Shorts

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Best Special Visual Effects:
Game of Thrones – “The Children”

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Best Special Visual Effects in a Supporting Role:
The Walking Dead – “30 Days Without an Accident”

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Best Stunt Coordination – Drama Series, TV Movie or Miniseries:
The Blacklist

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Best Stunt Coordination – Comedy Series or Variety Program:

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Best Technical Direction – Series:
The Voice – “Episode 519A”

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Best Technical Direction – TV Movie, Miniseries or Special:
The 67th Annual Tony Awards

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Best Voice-Over Performance – Character:
Seth Green, Robot Chicken DC Comics Special II: Villains in Paradise

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Best Voice-Over Performance – Narrator:
Jeremy Irons, Game of Lions

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Best Writing – Non-Fiction Programming:
JFK (American Experience) – Mark Zwonitzer